Categories
Book Reviews

Review of Titan by Ron Chernow Review (Part 2)


“There was nothing about him to make anybody pay especial attention to him or speculate about his future.”

This post will be about Rockefeller’s psychology and how it helped him become wealthy. It will also give you an idea of what he was like as a person. I’d like to begin with a description of Rockefeller when he was a child. I’ll be quoting a lot.

“Despite Rockefeller’s roseate memories, early photos of him tell a much more somber tale. His face was grime, expressionless, lacking boyish joy and animation…to other people, he often seemed abstracted, and they remembered him with a deadpan face trudging along country roads, lost in thought, as if unraveling deep problems…he was a quiet boy…he seemed always to be thinking.”

Like Richard Branson, Rockefeller had tiny ventures as a boy (buying candy in bulk, saving his money in a blue china bowl, and selling turkey chicks). Also like Branson, he was a patient and persistent, but slow learner. “Like J.P. Morgan and Jay Gould, [he] exhibited a terrific head for math.”

“If Rockefeller didn’t excel in class, it might have been in part because he lacked the bright boy’s exhibitionism, the yearning for gold stars; [he was] always inner directed and indifferent to the approval of others.”

I find it really interesting that there were very few signs from an early age that Rockefeller was going to become one of the greatest businessmen in America’s history. The one “sign” that Chernow offered was that Rockefeller was very careful and focused when he played games like chess. He also set goals and would not deviate until he accomplished them. Oddly, his slow and thoughtful style was combined with swift execution when he made a decision. Rockefeller was also a “clear and precise” communicator.

Rockefeller blended into the crowded during his teen years. One of the bigger things his classmates remembered about him was that he said on multiple occasions, “Some day, sometime, when I am a man, I want to be worth a-hundred-thousand-dollars. And I’m going to be, too–Some day.”

Rockefeller’s father had an interesting impact on his life. He was a bit of a wandering traveler, who loved cash. He peddled fake products and took advantage of ignorant locals. He also fornicated with multiple women on the road, despite being married. He would leave for months at a time, and when he came back, he would have wads of cash and flaunt his “richness” through expensive clothes, rings, watches, and by pulling out a bundle of cash whenever he paid.

The one thing his father did teach Rockefeller, aside from being a model of how NOT to live, was bargaining skills, contract law, ways to deal with employees, and the importance of paying debt on time. His father also lent him money for his first ventures (though demanded interest and at times would require the principle be paid within days).

Another influence in Rockefeller’s life was religion. Rockefeller led a strict religious life up until his death and saw earning money as a way to praise god. He believed that oil was a gift from god, similar to the way that some believe fire was a gift from god. Throughout his life, Rockefeller often felt like he was on a mission from god and that god had blessed him with certain gifts. He believed in an “us-them” world, similar to the way religious individuals view non-religious individuals. In all, he felt compelled to make money in order to serve god and that he was blessed by god to become rich.

Rockefeller’s first job was as a clerk, where he learned accounting and realized he had a love for detail and numbers. The skills he picked up at this job played a key role further down the line when he was starting companies. It allowed him to have the ability to understand the underlying forces of a company and where improvements need to be made. It’s also important to note the extreme persistence he exhibited when searching for a job. He wouldn’t take no for an answer and searched for work all day every day until he was offered a job.

During his first job, he came to have a love for work and fit right into the office environment. If there is one recurring theme in his early life, it is that he wanted to be treated as an adult because he believed he took on the same responsibilities as an adult (caring for family when father was gone). This is what drove him to secure a job and to treat older businessmen no differently than as if he were their colleague.

As I read about Rockefeller’s first venture (basically a grocery store or convenience shop) and then his oil refining business, I came to better understand his inner mentality. For example, he took frugality to the extreme and never made lavish displays of wealth, even when he had money.

“I wore a thin overcoat and thought how comfortable I should be when I could afford a long, thick Ulster. I carried a lunch in my pocket until I was a rich man. I trained myself in the school of self-control and self-denial. It was hard on me, but I would rather be my own tyrant than have someone else tyrannize me.”

He also showed incredible attention to the detail of the product development process and product output and strove to make it as high quality and efficient as possible. I got the impression that he spent every minute of the day (aside from church) thinking about business and how to expand.

As his business grew in the oil industry, his focus intensified.

“Sharing a room with brother William, he often nudged him awake in the dead of night.’I’ve been thinking out a plan to do so and so,’ he would ask. ‘Now, what do you think of this scheme?’

“For years on end I never had a solid night’s sleep, worrying about how it was to come out…I tossed about in bed night after night worrying over the outcome… all the fortune that have made has not served to compensate for the anxiety of that period” During this period, he gave himself nightly sermons where he motivated himself, maintained control over his emotions, and gathered his strength for another day of hard work.

Rockefeller was extremely disciplined about his book keeping and the way his business was run. He did everything possible to create higher profits (lowering transportation cost, encouraging efficient, economies of scale), and would remove partners or employees who either clashed with his vision or did not help him. He had a knack for attracting great people and quickly assessing people.

“You will remember that the business in its early years was a sort of gold-field rush…great fortunes were made by some of the first adventurers, and evrything was carried on in a sort of helter-skelter way…Rockefeller represented the second, more rational stage of capitalist development, when the colorful daredevils and pioneering spectulators give way…to the men who had grown up in the hard school of life, calculating and daring at the same time, above all temperate and reliable, shrewd and completely devoted to their business, with stricktly bourgeois opinions and principles.”

This gives you an idea of the mental strategies or convictions Rockefeller maintained and how they helped him be successful. It’s true that he was in the right place, in the right industry, and possessed the skill set needed to capture the industry, but to me it seems like he would have succeeded wherever he ended up. He always wanted to be a part of something “big” and that didn’t necessarily have to be the oil industry. I think he would have kept searching until he found it and then applied the focus, discipline, and ruthless drive to the business.

Tony Robbins says that the most important first step when setting a goal is to develop a strong “why.” You need to know why you’re doing it and have enough compelling reasons or else you will give up along the way.  It’s interesting how Rockefeller loved work and was extremely disciplined, but what’s even more interesting are his reasons for wanting to be wealthy.

Overall:“Rockefeller succeeded because he believed in the long-term prospects of the business and never treated it as a mirage that would soon fade.”

Categories
Economics & Business Journal Entries

Business Events week of Feb 6th


Went to a few awesome business events this week. On Tuesday, I went to the Dolphin Tank, a friendly pitch-practice event at George Washington University. I got to pitch my idea for the GW business plan comp and hear a bunch of entrepreneurs pitch their ideas. It was really cool to have such a supportive community during the early stages of the startup. At this time, you’re very uncertain and although you believe in your idea, there is always the element of risk.

I’ve never done much public speaking in my life. After London, I’ve been forcing myself to attend as many events as I can where I can develop sales and public speaking skills. I was very happy with my pitch and it went exactly as I imagined. Basically, I practiced for about an hour and a half before hand. I’m a big believer that speeches shouldn’t be memorized, but you should know the flow when you’re up there, so if you stumble you can improvise, but the message is already crafted. Also, when you know it by heart, you can concentrate on how you speak, rather than what you say.

On Thursday, I went to the  “The Social Startup,” an event put on by the GW Office of Entrepreneurship. Basically, DJ Saul, VP of New Ventures at iStrategyLabs, talked about the different types of tools you can use to promote your business on social media platforms. There were many I had never heard of, so the talk was very helpful. He reiterated a recurring theme that everyone seems to be talking about: The merging of the digital and physical worlds.

After the event, he got a few people together and did this exercise where everyone would put their name in a hat and whoever was drawn got to pitch their idea and have everyone give feedback on the idea/help them solve problems they are now facing. I was lucky enough to be randomly chosen and got a lot of awesome advice from everyone on ezEcon. I think I’ve nailed the business model (and figured out a way so that I can adapt it, should it fail). Also, one of the great things about these events is the people you meet. I made some good genuine connections.

Lastly, on Friday, I went to the SEAS Entrepreneurship Club pitch competition. I haven’t heard back yet what the results are, but I’m optimistic. Our five minute pitch was good, and we improved on the business model from when one of the judges last heard it. However, there were some very good and some very interesting ideas, so I guess we’ll see. There were also a lot of people. I think we got in around 7 and didn’t get out until 9:30 ish.

Anyway, these posts are mainly to ensure that I’m honoring my commitment to DO something about my desire to be an entrepreneur. Next week is DC Tech Meetup. I’m excited!

 

Categories
Book Reviews

Review of Titan by Ron Chernow Review (Part 1)


Recently, I’ve been reading a lot about well-known businessmen and entrepreneurs who have made an impact on our culture and gotten rich doing so. The biographies are always interesting, but the early years hold a particular fascination. You see, a few months ago, I was on the chunnel going from London to Paris and was reading Unlimited Power by Tony Robbins. I came across a section that talked about modeling and how many successful people have the ability pick role models, identify the lessons they learned on their climb to the top, and apply those lessons to their lives.

There was this one quote that I’ll reproduce here: “The man many people consider the richest in the world is Adnan Mohammad Khashoggi. How did he get that way? Simple: He modeled the Rockefellers, the Morgans, and others of like financial stature. He read everything he could about them, studied their beliefs, and modeled their strategies.” Now, wether or not it’s true that he modeled Rockefeller, I don’t know, but at that moment I decided to add Rockefeller to my list of to-study biographies.

Ron Chernow wrote a really long biography, so in part 1 of this review, I will be writing about the relevant business information regarding his rise to power. This is mainly so I can look back at a later date and don’t have to re-read the book. Part 2 of this review will detail his psychological beliefs and mentalities during his rise to power.

Note: all conversions in 2010 dollars

Rockefeller’s first recorded earnings came from farm labor where he made $0.375 cents per day ($8.67). He experienced his first non-wage earnings when he loaned a farmer $50 ($1,155.42) at 7% interest and made $3.50 ($80.88) at the end of the year.

The notion that one could make money from money was a big eye-opener for little Rockefeller. “He was thunderstruck by the happy math [computing the interest $$ he would get at the end of the year], which hit him with the force of a revelation…’The impression was gaining ground with me that it was a good thing to let the money be my slave and not make myself a slave to money.'”

Rockefeller got his first job as a clerk at age 16 for a commission merchants/produce shippers firm. He was paid $200 ($4,621.67) a year initially and shortly after received a raise so that he was paid $300 ($6,932.50) a year.

When he was 19 years old, Rockefeller had saved up $800 (equivalent to a year’s salary at this point in his career) ($19,906.14) and both he and his business partner invested a total of $4,000 ($99,530.70) in a startup company that would buy and sell produce. Since both partners were required to invest $2,000 ($49,765.35) and Rockefeller fell short, he made up the difference through a loan from his father.

The profit from this first venture in his first year was $4,400 ($105,475.70) and the profit after the Civil War when he was 23 was $17,000 ($407,519.74). Around this time, Rockefeller got his first loan outside of his family from a local bank for $2,000 ($49,765.35).

The total capital for his first refining venture at age 24 (his firm pledged half) was $8,000 ($139,995.02).  In the next year, he was audacious and borrowed $100,000 to expand the business ($1,749,937.73).

At age 25, he bought out his business partner in the oil refinery business for $72,500 ($998,980.20) and gave up his half interest in the commission business. At this time, the oil refinery was the largest in Cleveland and treated 500 barrels of crude oil daily. It was also one of the largest facilities in the world.

At this point in his career, although Rockefeller is not famous, there is no question that he was rich. In the next four years, he spent most of his time gathering cash from banks and investors and implementing plans to expand his business. He also began his controversial bargaining with the railroad companies. At age 29, he bought a conservative house on “Millionaires’ Row.” After this rise to power period, Rockefeller spent the remainder of his years building a monopoly of the oil industry and amassing more wealth than anyone thought possible. I will cover this later period of his life when he becomes famous and possibly the richest man in the world in other blog posts.

The next post will be about Rockefeller’s psychology and how it helped him rise to the top.

 

 

Categories
Economics & Business Journal Entries

Business Events Week of Jan 30th


I went to a two awesome business events last week, both hosted by the George Washington University. One was “The Path to Entrepreneurial Success,” and the other was “Product Development Strategies.”

The first was centered around a talk given by Karen G. Mills, the administrator of the U.S. Small Business Administration. It began with Karen talking about how the SBA can help entrepreneurs through loans, advice, and mentoring programs. Most of the loans seem like they are for low growth brick and mortar type businesses. The mentoring program sounds really awesome though and all of the advice (on business plan, market strategy, etc.) is free! Karen was a wonderful speaker and you can tell she cares a lot about small business growth and innovation. I never realized that the government is actually required to give a portion of their contracts to small businesses with innovative solutions.

There were also two entrepreneurs that spoke who were recipients of SBA loans. One was the founder of promethius, who sold out to blackboard, and the other was the founder of the Wasabi sushi chain restaurant in DC. It was really cool hearing them talk, especially the entrepreneur who founded promethius. He talked about how it all started when he was coding in the basement of Gelman Library (where I am now)  with friends and how he never had a real job.

Overall, I didn’t learn all that much new, but it was neat to see the person behind the scenes running this government organization and realize that she cares about what she does.

The second event, “Product Development Strategies,” was tied to the GW business plan competition (which I entered in and will hear back if I made it into the next round on the 13th). It featured John Funge, the founder of Pickle, Incando Corporation, and Clara Vista. I enjoyed the presentation and it reminded me of the presentations leading up to the business plan competition I participated in while in London.

After the lecture was over, we went around and talked about what we were working on. I got to give my pitch for ezEcon and get some feedback on the idea. It was a lot of fun and I’m already signed up for the next lecture event.

I’m trying to do one business lecture or event every week.

Below, I’ve included the notes that Funge handed out for his presentation:

Product Strategy

It’s not what it can do, what does it need to do.

by John Funge

Some guiding principles

Get to market as soon as you can, but make sure you have a “whole product”

What is “compelling value?”

  • For a business –> Rule of thumb: 10x ROI
  • For a consumer –> well described in the word “delight”

Do less – better

Get feedback from customers as soon as possible

  • Alpha, beta trials
  • Sell and meeting with customers before you have your product

Seeing is believing. Make sure you have a great prototype/demo early in the process.

Iterate and be flexible in your product development process.

The basic levers of product management: time, scope, and money.

Be very conscious of your critical path. Parallelize work, optimize your plan around interdependencies.

“Fashion is never finished.” Plan for ongoing product work

Leave plenty of time for testing and quality assurance.

Some tools

Tool 1: The 5 interview process

Tool 2: Competitive Dive

Tool 3: Weighted Criteria Matrix and the 5-step Process Below

Tool 4: Agile methodologies

Tool 5: Project repository (like Basecamp)

Tool 6: Issue tracking tool

5-Step Process to a Roadmap

1. List out all features and functionality (at a feature level – pretty detailed)

2. Evaluate value of different features

3. Evaluate cost

4. Prioritize

5. Repeat often

The five steps are sort of just common sense, but you’d be surprised how often people don’t do the simple things.

Categories
Economics & Business

Micropost: Facebook IPO Valuation


I hate reading long articles, so I decided to gather a few key facts surrounding the valuation of facebook from the Wallstreet Journal.

Valuation Potential: Between $50 – $100 Billion (and up)

Valuation from private market trading: $81  Billion

Revenue growth

2009 to 20110: 154%

2011:  88%, Profit: 65% growth

2011: 3.71 billion in revenues

Numbers 2011

Net Profit: 1 Billion

Operating Profit: 1.7 billion

EBITDA: 2.1 billion, Projected next year: 4.5 billion.

Google: 10 Billion sales, Valuation of 190 Billion.

LinkedIn: Valued at 30 times estimated cash flow.

I feel like there is so much hype around Facebook that it’s kind of obvious it will be overvalued when the stock is on the market, so I wouldn’t be surprised if it goes up to 30 times revenue. It’s all about future earnings and growth, and I feel like a lot of investors will just throw in with facebook because of the popularity.

This was a really good article. It highlighted some of the obstacles that facebook will face in the coming years that could threaten it’s growth potential.

Article: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204662204577199491268866920.html